Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.236857 0.268725 0.302796 0.341877 0.385406 0.432341 0.486718
2025-10-12 0.198059 0.241524 0.290969 0.351170 0.422271 0.503341 0.602537
2025-10-19 0.167129 0.217008 0.276867 0.353551 0.448690 0.562321 0.707731
2025-10-26 0.146848 0.201567 0.270397 0.362558 0.481845 0.630051 0.827002
2025-11-02 0.131097 0.189235 0.265527 0.371786 0.514558 0.698168 0.950290
2025-11-09 0.114547 0.173412 0.253797 0.369948 0.531495 0.745927 1.049276
2025-11-16 0.101404 0.160488 0.244212 0.369344 0.548956 0.794291 1.150787
2025-11-23 0.090130 0.148786 0.234849 0.367614 0.563843 0.839052 1.248907
2025-11-30 0.083196 0.142710 0.232834 0.375875 0.592893 0.904480 1.378689
2025-12-07 0.075155 0.133917 0.225720 0.375551 0.608737 0.951230 1.483490
2025-12-14 0.068188 0.126038 0.219157 0.375226 0.624046 0.997397 1.589085
2025-12-21 0.062166 0.119043 0.213260 0.375227 0.639428 1.043936 1.696910
2025-12-28 0.057916 0.114797 0.211683 0.382367 0.666968 1.111187 1.840928
2026-01-04 0.054683 0.112007 0.212263 0.393009 0.700657 1.189562 2.005884
2026-01-11 0.050495 0.106985 0.208490 0.395841 0.721457 1.248385 2.142691
2026-01-18 0.047807 0.104503 0.208946 0.405914 0.754809 1.328769 2.317387
2026-01-25 0.045375 0.102242 0.209558 0.416181 0.788906 1.411768 2.499794
2026-02-01 0.041562 0.096772 0.203696 0.414180 0.801304 1.459087 2.625294
2026-02-08 0.038294 0.092053 0.198817 0.413529 0.815846 1.510402 2.759337
2026-02-15 0.035200 0.087350 0.193531 0.411625 0.827817 1.557597 2.888085
2026-02-22 0.033552 0.085629 0.194009 0.420768 0.860439 1.641869 3.083609
2026-03-01 0.031090 0.081792 0.189835 0.420412 0.875161 1.695096 3.227157
2026-03-08 0.028844 0.078196 0.185835 0.420054 0.889715 1.748457 3.372835